Load Forecast Development Process

The processes for development and implementation of the PJM forecasts are maintained in this section along with Manual 19: Load Forecasting and Analysis WEB | PDF. The normalized peak and allocations for the past several planning periods are also maintained here along with the current Load Forecast Report, PJM Entity Forecast and Load Management historical data.

Forecasts & Reports

Date
5 Coincident Peaks & Weather Normalized Zonal Peaks - Summer
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 PDF 
 
Long-Term Load Forecast
2025: Report PDF | Tables XLS | Data XLS
Previous Reports ZIP
 
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
PJM Model Review - Final Report from Itron PDF
12.29.2022
2024 Mid-Year Update - Informational Only XLS
7.25.2024
Load Adjustment Breakdown for Capacity Obligations XLS
2.11.2025

Supplemental Materials

Date
Weather Normalized Peaks XLS
1.24.2025

2025

 
Long-Term Load Forecast Supplement PDF 
2.7.2025
Sector Models and End-Use Indices
Residential XLS
Commercial XLS
Industrial XLS
Heat Cool Other XLS
 
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
Forecast Assumptions
Economics
Households PDF
Population PDF
Working Age Population PDF
Real Goods Output PDF
Real Services Output PDF
Real Personal Income PDF
Service Employment PDF


1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
End Use
End Use Variables PDF

1.24.2025
Electric Vehicles
Electric Vehicle Totals XLS

1.24.2025
Calendar
Calendar Variables XLS

1.24.2025
Behind the Meter
2025 Solar Forecast Data XLS
Distributed Solar Annual Energy XLS
Distributed Solar and Battery Nameplate XLS

1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
Load Adjustments
Total Load Adjustments Breakdown XLS
Total Monthly Load Adjustments XLS

2.28.2025
3.19.2025
Final Model
Coefficients XLS
Model Residuals PDF
Seasonal Plots: Daily Peak and Weather PDF
Seasonal Plots: Hourly Peak and Weather PDF
Waterfalls PDF
RTO Hourly Shape ZIP

1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
1.24.2025
2.5.2025
2.6.2025
Hourly Forecast
AE | AEP | APS | ATSI | BGE | COMED | Dayton | DPL | DQE | Duke | EKPC | JCPL | MetEd | PECO | Penelec | PEPCO | PL | PS | RECO | UGI | VEPCO ZIP
2.7.2025
Forecast Adjustment Documentation
AEP | Dayton | DEOK | Dominion | Exelon | FirstEnergy | NOVEC | ODEC | PPL | PSEG | REC PDF

1.27.2025

Interruptible Load Resources

Date
Weather Standards for Demand Response Certification PDF
2.21.2024
Historical Load Management Events XLS
6.8.2023
Peak Shaving Adjustment Plan Template XLS 8.25.2021