Load Forecast Development Process

The processes for development and implementation of the PJM forecasts are maintained in this section along with Manual 19: Load Forecasting and Analysis WEB | PDF. The normalized peak and allocations for the past several planning periods are also maintained here along with the current Load Forecast Report, PJM Entity Forecast and Load Management historical data.

Forecasts & Reports
Date
5 Coincident Peaks & Weather Normalized Zonal Peaks - Summer
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022  | 2023 PDF 		  
Load Forecast
2023: Report PDF | Data XLS
Previous Reports ZIP
  
5.22.2023
5.11.2023
PJM Model Review - Final Report from Itron PDF
 12.29.2022
2023 Mid-Year Update - Informational Only XLS
7.27.2023

Supplemental Materials
Date
Weather Normalized Peaks XLS
12.29.2022

2023
 
Load Forecast Supplement PDF 
12.29.2022
Sector Models and End-Use Indices
Residential XLS
Commercial XLS
Industrial XLS
Heat Cool Other XLS		  
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
Forecast Assumptions
Economics
Households PDF
Population PDF
Working Age Population PDF
Real Goods Output PDF
Real Services Output PDF
Real Personal Income PDF
Service Employment PDF

12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
End Use
End Use Variables PDF

12.29.2022
Electric Vehicles
Electric Vehicle Totals XLS

12.29.2022
Calendar
Calendar Variables XLS

12.29.2022
Behind the Meter
2023 Solar Forecast Data XLS
Distributed Solar Annual Energy XLS
Distributed Solar and Battery Nameplate XLS

1.30.2023
1.26.2023
12.29.2022
Final Model
Coefficients XLS
Model Residuals PDF
Seasonal Plots: Daily Peak and Weather PDF
Seasonal Plots: Hourly Peak and Weather PDF
RTO Hourly Shape XLS
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
12.29.2022
4.4.2023

Interruptible Load Resources
Date
Historical Load Management Events XLS
6.8.2023
Weather Standards for Demand Response Certification PDF
 2.21.2023
Peak Shaving Adjustment Plan Template XLS 8.25.2021