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Committees & Groups

Load Analysis Subcommittee

Load Analysis Subcommittee (LAS) prepares PJM reports, technical analysis and coordination of information related to the electric peak demand and energy forecasts, interruptible load resources for capacity credit and weather and peak load studies. The LAS reports to the Planning Committee (PC).

Chair: Dean Manno
Secretary: Molly Mooney

During the meeting, if you are experiencing issues with connectivity or teleconference, please contact Meeting Support. For registration issues, contact PJM.

Roster PDF | Updates
Date
Charter PDF
8.15.2005
IHS Solar and Battery Assumptions - 2022 PDF 
8.4.2022
High-Level Overview of Load Forecast Model Review PDF 
7.18.2022

Load Forecast Reports
Date
2023 PDF 5.22.2023
2022 PDF  12.30.2021
2021 PDF  12.30.2020
2020 PDF 
12.30.2019
Previous Years
 



Meeting Materials

 11.29.2022 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

11.22.2022 Agenda_  PDF
11.22.2022 Agenda_-doc  DOC
12.15.2022 Item 02 - 1 Draft Minutes - 11.29.22  PDF
11.9.2022 Item 02 - Draft Minutes - 10.27.22  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 03A - IHS Markit - PJM Solar and Battery Forecasts  PDF
11.28.2022 Item 03B - PJM Distributed Solar and Battery Generation 2023  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 03C - Solar Presentation Data - 2023 Forecast  XLS
11.22.2022 Item 03D - State Zonal Breakdown - IHS CapacityAtPeak Solar Battery  XLS
11.29.2022 Item 04A - 2023 Preliminary PJM Load Forecast  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04B - Summer and Winter Forecasts 2022 v. 2023 - Preliminary  XLS
11.22.2022 Item 04C - Residential Sector  XLS
11.22.2022 Item 04D - Commercial Sector  XLS
11.22.2022 Item 04E - Industrial Sector  XLS
11.22.2022 Item 04F - Indices  XLS
11.22.2022 Item 04G - Economic Variable - Households  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04H - Economic Variable - Population  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04I - Economic Variable - Real Goods Output  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04J - Economic Variable - Real Services Output  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04K - Economic Variable - Real_Personal_Income  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04L - Economic Variable - Service Employment  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04M - Economic Variable - Working-Age Population  PDF
11.22.2022 Item 04N - End-Use Input Variables  PDF
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 10.27.2022 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 9.12.2022 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 7.28.2022 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 6.10.2022 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 12.6.2021 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

12.1.2021 Agenda  PDF
12.1.2021 Agenda  DOC
6.16.2022 Minutes  PDF
12.1.2021 Item 2 - Draft Minutes - LAS - 11.9.2021  PDF
12.1.2021 Item 3 - Dominion Energy 5 Year Data Center Plan  PDF
12.1.2021 Item 4A - IHS Markit PJM Solar & Battery Forecasts  PDF
12.6.2021 Item 4B - PJM Distributed Solar Generation 2022  PDF
12.1.2021 Item 5A - 2022 Preliminary Load Forecast  PDF
12.1.2021 Item 5B - Summer & Winter Peak Forecasts - 2021 v. 2022 - Preliminary  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5C - Summer & Winter Peak Forecasts - 2022 with Bands - Preliminary  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5D - Summer & Winter Peak Forecasts - Components - Preliminary  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5E - Residential Sector  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5F - Commercial Sector  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5G - Industrial Sector  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5H - Non-Weather Sensitive Load  XLS
12.1.2021 Item 5I - Weather Response  XLS
12.2.2021 Item 5J - Economic Inputs Summary  PDF
12.2.2021 Item 5K - End-Use Inputs Summary  PDF
2.9.2022 Solar Presentation Data - 2022 Forecast - Post Meeting  XLS
2.24.2022 2022 State Zonal Breakdown – IHS Capacity at Peak Solar and Battery - Post Meeting  XLS
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 11.9.2021 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 10.4.2021 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 9.3.2021 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

8.31.2021 Agenda  PDF
8.31.2021 Agenda  DOC
10.8.2021 Minutes  PDF
8.31.2021 Item 2 - Draft Minutes - LAS - 11.30.2020  PDF
8.31.2021 Item 3A - Accuracy Discussion  PDF
8.31.2021 Item 3B - Accuracy Data  XLS
8.31.2021 Item 4 - Forecast Methodology Updates  PDF
8.31.2021 Item 5A - Forecast Model Estimation Period Analysis  PDF
8.31.2021 Item 5B - Sector Model Comparisons  XLS
8.31.2021 Item 5C - Summer & Winter Forecast Comparisons  XLS
8.31.2021 Item 6 - Assumptions for the Long-Term Distributed Solar Generation & Battery Forecast  PDF
8.31.2021 Item 7 - Summer 2021 Load  PDF
9.2.2021 Information Only - PJM Notes on Zonal Trend Graphs  PDF
9.2.2021 Information Only - Zonal Trend Graphs (Wilson)  PDF
9.8.2021 Solar Capacity Factors Hourly by Month - Post Meeting  XLS
9.8.2021 Estimation Period - Sector Model Comparison - Post Meeting  XLS
9.8.2021 Industrial Intensity - Post Meeting  XLS
9.8.2021 Composite Weather Variables - Post Meeting  XLS
9.8.2021 Non-Weather Sensitive Load - Post Meeting  XLS
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 11.30.2020 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 10.22.2020 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 9.21.2020 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

9.16.2020 Agenda  PDF
9.16.2020 Agenda  DOC
11.4.2020 Minutes  PDF
9.16.2020 Item 2 - Draft Minutes - LAS - 5.5.2020  PDF
9.16.2020 Item 3 - Forecast Model Development  PDF
9.16.2020 Item 3A - Appendix Zonal Graphs  PDF
9.16.2020 Item 3B - Appendix Accuracy  PDF
9.16.2020 Item 3C - Residential Model  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3D - Commercial Model  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3E - Industrial Model  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3F - End Use Indices  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3G - Non-Weather Sensitive Estimates History  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3H - Non-Weather Sensitive Model Fit  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3I - Non-Weather Sensitive Forecast Model  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3J - Statistical Appendix  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 3K - Model Residuals  XLS
9.28.2020 Item 3L - Summer Forecasts - Post Meeting  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 4 - Solar Assumptions  PDF
9.21.2020 Item 4A - Peak Hour Ending Data - Post Meeting  XLS
9.16.2020 Item 5 - PEV Forecast  PDF
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 5.5.2020 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 12.3.2019 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

11.26.2019 Agenda  PDF
11.26.2019 Agenda  DOC
5.13.2020 Minutes  PDF
11.26.2019 Item 2 - Draft Minutes - LAS - 9.10.2019  PDF
11.26.2019 Item 3A - IHS Markit - PJM Solar Forecast  PDF
11.26.2019 Item 3B - PJM Distributed Solar Generation 2020  PDF
11.26.2019 Item 4 - 2020 Preliminary PJM Load Forecast  PDF
11.26.2019 Item 5 - PJM Load Forecast Accuracy  PDF
11.26.2019 Preliminary Zonal Forecast Graphs  PDF
1.6.2020 State Zonal Breakdown - IHS Capacity at Peak - Post Meeting  XLS
11.26.2019 2020 Load Forecast Supplement  PDF
11.26.2019 Estimated Historical Solar Zone - RTO Peaks  XLS
11.19.2019 Historical Loads - Unrestricted with Solar  XLS
11.19.2019 New Weather Variables  XLS
12.10.2019 Contributions to Summer Peak Growth - Preliminary Post Meeting  PDF
12.10.2019 Contributions to Sector Gross Load - Preliminary Post Meeting  PDF
12.10.2019 Economic Growth Assumptions - Preliminary Post Meeting  PDF
12.4.2019 Economic Variables Average Annual Growth Rates - Preliminary Post Meeting  PDF
12.4.2019 Heat & Cool End Use Indexes 2020 - Preliminary Post Meeting  XLS
12.4.2019 Non-Weather Sensitive Load 2020 - Preliminary Post Meeting  XLS
12.4.2019 Other End Use Index 2020 - Preliminary Post Meeting  XLS
12.4.2019 Raw End Use Growth Rates by Census Division - Preliminary Post Meeting  PDF
12.4.2019 Sector Energy Shares - Preliminary Post Meeting  PDF
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 9.10.2019 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 8.6.2019 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

8.1.2019 Agenda  PDF
8.1.2019 Agenda  DOC
9.17.2019 Minutes  PDF
8.1.2019 Item 2 - Draft Minutes - LAS - 11.27.2018  PDF
8.5.2019 Item 3 - IHS DSG Assumptions  PDF
8.1.2019 Item 4 - PJM PEV Load Forecast  PDF
8.1.2019 Item 5 - Potential Load Forecast Changes  PDF
8.5.2019 Summer Forecasts - Current vs Proposed Comparison  XLS
8.5.2019 Winter Forecasts - Current vs Proposed Comparison  XLS
8.2.2019 Energy Forecasts - Current vs Proposed Comparison  XLS
8.2.2019 Parameter Estimates - Current & Proposed Model  XLS
8.2.2019 Proposed Model - Non-Weather Sensitive Load  XLS
8.2.2019 Proposed Model - Heat and Cool Equipment Indexes  XLS
8.2.2019 Proposed Model - New Weather Variables  XLS
8.2.2019 Proposed Model - Summer Forecasts (Estimation Period Comparison)  XLS
8.2.2019 Current Model - Estimation Period Sensitivity  XLS
8.5.2019 Model Accuracy Detail - Current vs Proposed  XLS
8.16.2019 PSEG - Post Meeting Comments  PDF
9.5.2019 PSEG Comments 2 – Post Meeting  PDF
8.16.2019 Zonal Summer Peak Load Graphs - Post Meeting  PDF
8.28.2019 Current Model Fitted Values – Post Meeting  XLS
8.22.2019 PJM Comments for PSEG Feedback - Post Meeting  PDF
9.5.2019 PJM Comments for PSEG Feedback 2 – Post Meeting  PDF
8.28.2019 Proposed Model Fitted Values – Post Meeting  XLS
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 11.27.2018 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

11.20.2018 Agenda  PDF
11.20.2018 Agenda  DOC
8.13.2019 Minutes  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 2 - Draft Minutes - LAS - 7.18.2018  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 3 - Review of PJM Summer 2018 Loads  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 4 - Peak Shaving Forecast Adjustments  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 5 - PJM RTO Load Forecast Model Accuracy  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 6A - IHS Markit PJM Solar Forecasts  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 6B - PJM Distributed Solar Generation Forecast  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 7 - Preliminary 2019 Load Forecast  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 7A - Preliminary Forecast Decomposition - 2022 Delivery Year   PDF
11.20.2018 Item 7B - Preliminary Forecast Decomposition - 2024 Delivery Year  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 7C - Preliminary Forecast Decomposition - 2032-2033  PDF
11.20.2018 Item 8 - Load Forecast Report Dashboard  PDF
11.20.2018 Cooling Equipment Index Comparison  XLS
11.20.2018 Distributed Solar Generation Data  XLS
11.20.2018 Economic Index Comparison  XLS
11.20.2018 Heating Equipment Index Comparison  XLS
11.20.2018 Load Forecast Adjustment 2019 - APS  PDF
11.20.2018 Load Forecast Adjustment 2019 - BGE  PDF
11.20.2018 Load Forecast Adjustment 2019 - ComEd  PDF
12.19.2018 Load Forecast Adjustment 2019 - DOM  PDF
11.20.2018 Other Equipment Index Comparison  XLS
11.20.2018 Preliminary 2019 Peak Demand Graphs  PDF
11.26.2018 Zonal 2018 Forecast Distributions and Weather  PDF
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 7.18.2018 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 6.20.2018 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 5.22.2018 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 3.14.2018 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 11.15.2017 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

11.9.2017 Agenda  PDF
11.9.2017 Agenda  DOC
3.22.2018 Minutes  PDF
11.9.2017 Draft Minutes - LAS - 7.17.2017  PDF
11.9.2017 Item 3 - Distributed Solar Generation Data  XLS
11.9.2017 Item 3 - IHS Solar Forecast 2017  PDF
11.9.2017 Item 3 - PJM Distributed Solar Generation Forecast 2018  PDF
11.14.2017 Item 4 - Preliminary 2018 Load Forecast  PDF
11.9.2017 Item 4 - Zonal Decomposition Graphs  PDF
11.15.2017 Item 5 - Review of PJM Summer 2017 Loads  PDF
11.9.2017 Item 6 - Weather Normalization 2017  XLS
11.9.2017 Item 6 - Weather Normalization Method  PDF
11.9.2017 Item 7 - Load Forecast Accuracy  PDF
11.9.2017 Item 8 - Load Forecast Development  PDF
11.9.2017 Load Forecast Adjustment - APS  PDF
11.9.2017 Load Forecast Adjustment - Dominion  PDF
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 7.17.2017 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 11.18.2016 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 10.19.2016 - Load Analysis Subcommittee

 11.24.2014 - Load Analysis Subcommittee Meeting

 10.16.2014 - Load Analysis Subcommittee Meeting

 4.19.2012 - Load Analysis Subcommittee Meeting

 1.5.2012 - Load Analysis Subcommittee Meeting

 11.10.2011 - Load Analysis Subcommittee Meeting

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